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Update 30-08-2008


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jim puplava

Jim Puplava is a highly respected expert in the field of economics and money.
For the investor his  weekly  "Financial Sense Newshour" provides precious advice and perspectives based on his widely appreciated  understanding of financial markets.  Jim Puplava was one of the first commentators to warn for "Peak Oil" and for the looming housing Bubble and credit crunch. Often described as an "angry bear", his critical interviews with authors of economics and finance publications are highly informative and often provide an alternative view to the biased bullishness of mainstream financial media.
Whatever Happened to Thrift:
Why Americans (and Europeans) don't save and what to do About It
Ronald Wilcox describes how the “savings crisis” adversely influences personal lifestyles and undermines national wealth and our standard of living. Wilcox alanyses rational and irrational reasons behind individuals’ and governments' failures to put money away, and the steps people can take today to help themselves.  The book is an attempt to reinvent thrift, to find practical ways to help people consume less and save more now so that we can regain long term prosperity.  Jim Puplava interviews the author.

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A Very Unpleasant Truth. 
Peak Oil Production and Its Global Consequences

A basic assumption underlying our economic system and our way of life is that cheap and plentiful amounts of oil will be available for the foreseeable future. In this book two retired oil company scientists present the case that this assumption regarding future oil supplies is dangerously flawed. They believe that a peak in worldwide oil production is imminent and that the ensuing decline in oil production will have devastating social consequences unless steps are taken immediately to lessen the impact of this event. Easy solutions to the problem of peak oil production such as replacing conventional oil with ethanol or relying on the Canadian and Venezuelan oil sands to solve the problem will prove to be only uneconomic, highly unecologic and partial solutions. Conservation of energy must be an essential feature of how we respond to the energy crisis. 




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The New Great Game:
Blood and Oil in Central Asia


Desperate to wean its dependence on the powerful OPEC cartel, the United States is pitted in this struggle against Russia, China, and Iran, all competing to dominate the Caspian region, its resources and pipeline routes. Transnational energy corporations are complicating the playing field with their own agendas. Wild West-style entrepreneurs have taken control after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Author Kleveman met with the principal Great Game actors between Kabul and Moscow: oil barons, generals, diplomats, and warlords. Based on extensive research, "The New Great Game" is a gripping narrative, and an incisive analysis of the power struggle for the world's remaining energy resources. Jim Puplava interviews the author. 


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Financial Armageddon
Protecting Your Future From Your Impending Catastrophes" BY Michael Panzner

When the stock market bubble burst in 2000, the collapse that followed wiped out nearly two-thirds of the value of the NASDAQ index, and decimated the hopes and dreams of millions of Americans. Now, imagine not one, but four such disasters looming on the horizon – all of them poised to erupt in a massive economic firestorm that will wreak widespread havoc in the months and years to come. Joining me on the program is Michael Panzner. He has written a new book called Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future From Four Impending Catastrophes.
"Financial Armageddon:
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The Second Great Depression.
This is a frightening book. It shows how massive consumer debt will trigger the next depression, starting about the year 2007. Most of the logic used to support this premise is based on the government's own published data. The exuberance resulting from the overheated stock market of the 90s caused consumers to stop saving and go into debt. Then, the dramatic drop in mortgage rates enabled people to refinance their homes and go even further into debt. People are no longer living on what they can afford; instead they are living the lifestyle they think they deserve, costs be damned! 
With interest rates increasing, savings rates near zero, and debt at its maximum; many people will be pushed over their debt limit, having homes foreclosed by the banks or going into bankruptcy. Others will heed the warnings and reduce spending, causing a dramatic slowing of the economy.      
The Second Great Depression
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Throughout history, people have tried many ways of building wealth and driving progress. One has consistently worked best: capitalism. This book explains why free markets and free enterprise are so successful and demonstrates how they offer the best solutions for today's most challenging problems.

Barron's Editorial Page Editor Thomas G. Donlan starts by explaining why markets are such efficient allocators of wealth, income, labor, goods, and everything else. It's possible to imagine kinder, more just, more equitable outcomes than what the markets deliver, says Donlan, but it's impossible to engineer those outcomes without disastrous consequences Donlan explores what economic history teaches us about poverty, inequality, taxes, globalization, trade, immigration, energy, healthcare, retirement security, and population growth--and how we can harness the power of markets to address these challenges today.

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America's Financial Reckoning Day 
by Charles H.Coppes

Is the U.S. heading for fiscal bankruptcy? It is according to David Walker, Comptroller General for the Government Accounting Office in a recent interview on CBS 60 Minutes (7/8/07). "I would argue that the most serious threat to the United States is not someone hiding in a cave in Afghanistan or Pakistan, but our own fiscal irresponsibility,” says Walker. “We suffer from a fiscal cancer. And if we do not treat it, it could have catastrophic consequences for our country.”  Not only could our fiscal irresponsibility have catastrophic consequences for our country – there is a growing consensus among Wall Street economist and analysts that we are indeed facing a financial reckoning day. For the baby-boom generation this is a serious wake-up call that domestic and foreign issues are converging to script the perfect financial storm – everything from asset bubbles, trade deficits, unfunded liabilities and derivatives exposure to an eventual bond liquidation, currency collapse and hyperinflation. With sobering and exacting detail, this book presents a clear case for America’s geopolitical obsolescence and the rise of the European Union as a superpower along with China’s economic future, the politics of oil, and the prophetic implications of war in the Middle East.  

America's Financial Reckoning Day
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A Demon of Our Own Design
Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial Innovation

Why do markets keep crashing and why are financial crises greater than ever before? As the risk manager to some of the leading firms on Wall Street–from Morgan Stanley to Salomon and Citigroup–and a member of some of the world’s largest hedge funds, from Moore Capital to Ziff Brothers and FrontPoint Partners, Rick Bookstaber has seen the ghost inside the machine and vividly shows us a world that is even riskier than we think. The very things done to make markets safer, have, in fact, created a world that is far more dangerous. From the 1987 crash to Citigroup closing the Salomon Arb unit, from staggering losses at UBS to the demise of Long-Term Capital Management, Bookstaber gives readers a front row seat to the management decisions made by some of the most powerful financial figures in the world that led to catastrophe, and describes the impact of his own activities on markets and market crashes. Much of the innovation of the last 30 years has wreaked havoc on the markets and cost trillions of dollars. A Demon of Our Own Design tells the story of man’s attempt to manage market risk and what it has wrought. In the process of showing what we have done, Bookstaber shines a light on what the future holds for a world where capital and power have moved from Wall Street institutions to elite and highly leveraged hedge funds

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Easy Money, High Rollers, and the Great Credit Crash by Charles R. Morris
We are living in the most reckless financial environment in recent history. Arcane credit derivative bets are now well into the tens of trillions. According to Charles R. Morris, the astronomical leverage at investment banks and their hedge fund and private equity clients virtually guarantees massive disruption in global markets. The crash, when it comes, will have no firebreaks. A quarter century of free-market zealotry that extolled asset stripping, abusive lending, and hedge fund secrecy will come crashing down with it.  The Trillion Dollar Meltdown explains how we got here, and what is about to happen. After the crash our priorities will be quite different. But things are likely to get worse before they better. Whether you are an active investor, a homeowner, or a contributor to your 401(k) plan, The Trillion Dollar Meltdown will be indispensable to understanding the gross excess that has put the world economy on the brink—and what the new landscape will look like.


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Nuclear Energy Now
Why the Time Has Come for the World's Most Misunderstood Energy Source

The dramatic increases in oil and natural gas prices, the finite supply of fossil fuels, and concerns over emissions and global warming are forcing us to consider alternatives. In this measured and knowledgeable book, energy experts Alan Herbst and George Hopley argue that the time has come for the U.S. to revitalize its nuclear generation assets in order to successfully meet growing domestic electricity requirements and lessen our dependence on foreign sources of energy. Nuclear Energy Now provides an informed look at the benefits and drawbacks associated with this controversial alternative to traditional energy sources.

It opens with a brief overview of commercial nuclear development in the U.S. during the past half-century and moves on to discuss what the future may hold if new initiatives-supported by the Energy Policy Act of 2005-gain traction. Along the way, readers will find informed insights into why the need for nuclear power has become so critical and how we can safely add capacity in the coming years. Exploring all of the issues related to developing America's nuclear energy capabilities safely and cost-effectively, Nuclear Energy Now is a must-read for anyone concerned about our oil dependency, the environment, and future of the nation

Nuclear Energy Now

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Privacy Lost
How Technology is Endangering Your Privacy by  David Holtzman


David H. Holtzman--a master technologist, internet pioneer, security analyst, and former military codebreaker--presents a comprehensive insider's exposé of the world of invasive technology, who's using it, and how our privacy is at risk. Holtzman starts out by categorizing privacy violations into "The 7 Sins Against Privacy" and then goes on to explain in compelling and easy to understand language exactly how privacy is being eroded in every aspect of our lives.   Holtzman vividly reveals actual invasions and the dangers associated with the loss of privacy, and he takes a realistic look at the trade offs between privacy and such vital issues as security, rights, and economic development.
Privacy Lost
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Crash Proof
How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse"  by Peter D. Schiff
From both an economic and monetary perspective, the United States is a house of cards—impressive on the outside, but a disaster waiting to happen beneath the surface. In a relatively short period of time, the country has gone from the world's largest creditor to its greatest debtor; the value of the dollar has declined; and domestic manufacturing has given way to non-exportable services. While these and other issues could potentially spell disaster for your financial well-being, the situation could also present unique opportunities—if you're prepared.  Now, in Crash Proof, Schiff provides you with an insightful examination of the structural weaknesses underlying this impending economic meltdown, and discusses the measures you can take to protect yourself—as well as profit—during the difficult times that lie ahead. He also outlines a specific three-step plan that will allow you to preserve wealth and protect the purchasing power of the savings you have worked a lifetime to accumulate.  Peter D. Schiff does have a survival plan that can provide the protection that readers will need in the coming years.  
Crash Proof

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America's Financial Apocalypse
 How to Profit From the Next Great Depression" By ike Stathis

This book represents the most comprehensive and exhaustive analysis of America's current and future economic plight, as well as that of its capital markets. It paints a chilling picture of America, makes use of several hundred figures, tables, and charts, as well as over 700 references throughout its 18 chapters to support the premise that a depression is an inevitable outcome. The final three chapters address both the short- and long-term economic and market risks and provide investment guidance and strategy for investors to position themselves to profit before and during America's Financial Apocalypse, leading to the Next Great Depression. Mr. Stathis works in the venture capital industry, where he applies his expertise in finance and healthcare to assist next generation healthcare delivery companies bring more effective and cost-efficient solutions to the marketplace. He previously worked for several years at two of Wall Street's largest and most prestigious investment firms serving as an asset manager and merchant banker. 
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America's Bubble Economy
Profit When It Pops" by Eric Janszen, Coauthor   

While most people ignore the warning signs, those who move quickly and correctly can position themselves now to profit from what will be the greatest financial opportunity of the coming decade. Instantly engaging and crystal clear, America’s Bubble Economy: Profit When It Pops, cuts through the denial about our over-valued dollar, over-hyped stock market, over-priced real estate, crushing consumer debt, tremendous trade deficit, and astronomical government debt, upon which the US, European, and Asian economies now depend. More importantly, America’s Bubble Economy offers priceless, truly original insights for protecting assets and creating tremendous wealth for ordinary people (not just the fabulously wealthy) during the coming financial crisis. The book also illuminates how this unique moment fits into the broader evolution of money and society.

America's Bubble Economy
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The title refers to the formation of the Federal Reserve at the secret meeting at Jekyll Island in 1910. It was here that the "Money Trust", composed of the most powerful bankers and a U.S. Senator launched the Federal Reserve conceived at controlling the financial system in such a way that the bankers would always come out on top.  Griffin describes this launch and quickly moves into the present day to detail the last financial crises that time and time again resulted in government intervention and taxpayers bailing out banks to prevent massive loan defaults; bank runs, and a major economic depression. Griffin shows how the taxpayers are bilked and bankers make billions.

The problem with the FED is that our currency is fiat money. This is money that is "declared" money by the government but which is not backed by anything but promises. This deceit allways results in inflation and boom and bust cycles.  Greffin shows how the money system operates, how the Fed creates money, and how this affects prices, inflation, the business cycles, the economy and everyday life.
A Second Look at the Federal Reserve
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"Bubble Man"
 Alan Greenspan and the Missing 7 Trillion Dollars"  by Peter Hartcher
In this eye-opening account, Peter Hartcher reexamines the achievements of Alan Greenspan, the man who presided over the 1990s stock-market bubble—perhaps the biggest speculative frenzy in history—and walked away when it came crashing down, with his reputation apparently unscathed. The U.S. economy is still struggling with the fallout from Greenspan’s tenure, which includes a bubble in housing prices, a rocky recovery, and a vast federal deficit. His mistakes live on, as does the question of what to do about bubbles.

Hartcher’s careful investigation of the most financially expensive event in American history results in a gripping tale of failed leadership, excess, and the bizarre politics behind the world’s most powerful economy

Bubble Man Alan Greenspan
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Inside the House of Money
Top
Hedge Fund Traders on Profiting in the Global Markets"  by Steven Drobny

Inside the House of Money lifts the veil on the typically opaque world of hedge funds offering a rare glimpse at how today's highest paid money managers approach their craft. Author Steve Drobny demystifies how these star traders make billions for their well-heeled investors, revealing their theories, strategies and approaches to markets. Whereas some still maintain that rationality permeates financial markets, Drobny captures a different dimension, showing how the unquantifiable human forces of emotion and intuition are also at play. Along the way, readers get an inside look at firsthand trading experiences through some of the major world financial crises of the last few decades including tragedies such as September 11th. Whether Russian bonds, Pakistani stocks, Southeast Asian currencies or stakes in African brewing companies, no market or instrument is out of bounds for these elite global macro hedge fund managers. Highly accessible and filled with in-depth expert opinion, Inside the House of Money is a must-read for financial professionals and anyone else interested in understanding how greed, fear, and the human forces of emotion drive world markets.

Top Hedge Fund Traders on Profiting
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Alternative Energy Resources
The Quest for Sustainable Energy 
by Paul Kruger

Over the course of the next fifty years, there will be a shift in the quest for sustainable energy, including a major change in transportation from internal combustion engines burning petroleum-derived fuels to newer technology engines using new transportation fuels. Alternative Energy Resources examines our options for energy sources with a focus on hydrogen as a large-scale, secondary energy vector parallel to electricity.

As the price of petroleum products increases, the world is scrambling to find a suitable replacement energy source. In this comprehensive primer, Professor Paul Kruger examines energy use throughout history and the exponential expansion of our energy use beginning with the Industrial Revolution through the present day. The book then analyzes the various alternative energy sources available, including renewable energy (hydroelectric, solar, wind, biomass, and geothermal), nuclear, and hydrogen. He addresses each energy source's pros and cons based on our needs, availability, and environmental impact aspects. Finally, Dr. Kruger proposes the use of hydrogen as a fuel to sustain our energy supply produced by appropriate technology mixtures of renewable and nuclear energy.

Alternative Energy Resources

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Twilight in the Desert  by  Matthew Simmons
The West is Deluded to rely on Saudu Oil

 Investment banker Simmons offers a detailed description of the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the U.S and our long-standing dependence upon Saudi oil. With a field-by-field assessment of its key oilfields, he highlights many discrepancies between Saudi Arabia's actual production potential and its seemingly extravagant resource claims. Parts 1 and 2 of the book offer background and context for understanding the technical discussion of Saudi oil fields and the world's energy supplies. Parts 3 and 4 contain analysis of Saudi Arabia's oil and gas industry based on the technical papers published by the Society of Petroleum Engineers. Simmons suggests that when Saudi Arabia and other Middle East producers can no longer meet the world's enormous demand, world leaders and energy specialists must be prepared for the consequences of increased scarcity and higher costs of oil that support our modern society. Without authentication of the Saudi's production sustainability claims, the author recommends review of this critical situation by an international forum.  .   
The West is Deluded to rely on Saudu Oil
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The Coming Generational Storm
The $44 Trillion Abyss - by Laurence J. Kotlikoff 
77 million baby boomers hobble into old age. Walkers soon will outnumber strollers. How will America handle this demographic overload? How will Social Security and Medicare function with fewer working taxpayers to support these programs?  Under the present course that will double the taxes paid by the next generation.
We'll see skyrocketing tax rates, drastically lower retirement and health benefits, high inflation, a rapidly depreciating dollar, unemployment, and political instability when we head straight into the coming generational storm.  Politicians disguise the truth to get re-elected. This is notheing less than
fiscal child abuse. There's also the "deficit delusion" of the under-reported national debt. And none of this, they say, will be solved by any of the popularly touted remedies: cutting taxes, technological progress, immigration, foreign investment, or the elimination of wasteful government spending.  So how can the United States avoid this demographic/fiscal collision? Kotlikoff and Burns propose bold new policies, including meaningful reforms of Social Security, and Medicare. Their proposals are simple, straightforward, and geared to attract support from both political parties. But just in case politicians won't take the political risk to chart a new direction, Kotlikoff and Burns also offer guidelines for individuals to protect their financial health and retirement. 

Professor Kotlikoff was a Senior Economist with the President's Council of Economic Advisers. He served as consultant to the IMF, the World Bank, the Harvard Institute for International Development.  

The Coming Generational Storm

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More radio interviews and analysis in the Financial Sense Archives:
Weekly radio - update of the financial  situation
with uncommon Views for the Wise Investor ( mp3


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